Pre-tourney Rankings
Stony Brook
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#166
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#130
Pace71.8#97
Improvement-0.6#210

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#275
First Shot-4.8#307
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#81
Layup/Dunks-1.9#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#286
Freethrows+0.9#111
Improvement-4.7#335

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#94
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#178
Layups/Dunks+1.1#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#70
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+4.2#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 33.0 - 3.04.0 - 5.0
Quad 419.0 - 3.023.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 270   @ George Washington W 77-74 OT 62%     1 - 0 -0.6 -2.4 +1.6
  Nov 09, 2018 62   @ South Carolina W 83-81 15%     2 - 0 +12.6 +12.0 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2018 243   Holy Cross L 70-84 67%     2 - 1 -19.0 -0.8 -19.2
  Nov 17, 2018 269   Norfolk St. W 72-65 71%     3 - 1 +0.7 -3.3 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2018 133   @ Rhode Island W 68-58 29%     4 - 1 +15.2 -2.6 +17.6
  Nov 27, 2018 269   @ Norfolk St. W 79-73 62%     5 - 1 +2.5 +4.9 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 228   Quinnipiac W 71-61 72%     6 - 1 +3.5 -7.9 +11.3
  Dec 05, 2018 316   @ Manhattan W 69-62 73%     7 - 1 +0.3 +3.0 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2018 149   @ Brown L 69-71 33%     7 - 2 +1.9 +3.9 -2.0
  Dec 12, 2018 256   LIU Brooklyn W 83-79 77%     8 - 2 -4.3 +4.2 -8.7
  Dec 16, 2018 254   Delaware W 74-68 77%     9 - 2 -2.2 +2.0 -3.5
  Dec 19, 2018 105   Hofstra L 64-71 41%     9 - 3 -5.2 -13.4 +8.2
  Dec 22, 2018 228   @ Quinnipiac W 76-73 52%     10 - 3 +2.0 +0.7 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2018 164   @ Northern Iowa W 73-63 39%     11 - 3 +12.5 +4.3 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2019 257   @ Umass Lowell W 75-63 59%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +9.2 -6.9 +15.3
  Jan 09, 2019 321   Binghamton W 59-46 88%     13 - 3 2 - 0 -0.5 -18.6 +18.6
  Jan 12, 2019 341   New Hampshire W 62-44 93%     14 - 3 3 - 0 +0.5 -15.3 +15.4
  Jan 19, 2019 333   @ Maine W 64-61 80%     15 - 3 4 - 0 -6.5 -13.5 +6.9
  Jan 23, 2019 271   @ Albany W 67-66 OT 62%     16 - 3 5 - 0 -2.6 -5.5 +3.0
  Jan 26, 2019 94   Vermont L 52-73 38%     16 - 4 5 - 1 -18.5 -17.8 -1.2
  Jan 30, 2019 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 49-57 53%     16 - 5 5 - 2 -9.2 -16.1 +6.2
  Feb 02, 2019 193   Hartford W 86-77 66%     17 - 5 6 - 2 +4.2 +1.1 +2.6
  Feb 06, 2019 321   @ Binghamton W 85-59 76%     18 - 5 7 - 2 +18.0 +5.1 +12.2
  Feb 09, 2019 257   Umass Lowell W 76-65 77%     19 - 5 8 - 2 +2.7 -8.0 +10.0
  Feb 16, 2019 341   @ New Hampshire W 66-64 86%     20 - 5 9 - 2 -9.9 -4.1 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2019 271   Albany L 70-74 79%     20 - 6 9 - 3 -13.1 -9.1 -3.8
  Feb 23, 2019 333   Maine W 81-53 91%     21 - 6 10 - 3 +13.0 +7.3 +7.5
  Feb 27, 2019 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-63 72%     22 - 6 11 - 3 +8.3 +8.0 +0.8
  Mar 02, 2019 94   @ Vermont L 50-56 21%     22 - 7 11 - 4 +2.1 -17.0 +19.0
  Mar 05, 2019 193   @ Hartford W 68-63 45%     23 - 7 12 - 4 +5.8 -0.2 +6.6
  Mar 09, 2019 321   Binghamton L 72-78 88%     23 - 8 -19.5 -10.0 -9.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%